Coronavirus: this artificial intelligence anticipated the epidemic 10 days before the WHO

Coronavirus prevention

The coronavirus was spotted at the end of December 2019 by artificial intelligence. Ten days before the WHO (the World Health Organization), an algorithm developed by the Canadian firm BlueDot has indeed identified the first signs of the epidemic in China. To achieve this, AI has collected an impressive mountain of data from the Internet.

No one had seen the coronavirus crisis coming to China … except this artificial intelligence designed by the Canadian start-up BlueDot, report Wired.

Ten days before the United States Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and WHO, the software detected early warning signs of infection in Wuhan city (central China).

BlueDot artificial intelligence scans the web, but not social media

Developed in 2014 by Kamran Kha, a former doctor, BlueDot’s artificial intelligence uses machine learning systems coupled with mountains of data retrieved from the web.

To anticipate the emergence of an epidemic, the algorithm notably relied on messages posted on forums, on online press articles, on symptoms sought on a search engine like Google or health bulletins communicated by official bodies.

AI, however, is deadlocked on publications on social networks, deemed “too messy”.

To refine its analysis, AI also draws on the history of the spread of previous epidemics, including Zika.

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Coronavirus

To understand which countries are likely to be affected in priority, the software cross-checks the information retrieved with airport flight plans and the air tickets sold.

BlueDot’s AI is capable of processing data from 65 different languages, the firm explains “Wired”.

“Our global alert system combines more than 100 data sets with proprietary algorithms to provide accurate information on the spread of infectious diseases,” said BlueDot on its website.

The entire analysis process is not based on artificial intelligence, says the Canadian company.

A human epidemiologist is in fact responsible for confirming or refuting the findings made by the algorithms.

In the case of Coronavirus, the expert approved the propagation scheme developed by AI as of December 31, last year. The algorithm had thus succeeded in predicting the arrival of the virus in Bangkok, Seoul, Taipei, and Tokyo long before scientists.

AI was not taken seriously by the authorities

BlueDot was quick to share AI warnings with public health officials in a dozen countries, with airlines, and with hospitals.

Unfortunately, the authorities did not pay much attention to the analyzes of the algorithm. Without access to its success history or percentage of reliability, health officials feared that AI or BlueDot would mislead them.

According to the latest news, the coronavirus has infected 4,474 people worldwide, including 4,409 individuals in China.

In France, three cases have been confirmed.

The epidemic caused 107 deaths.

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